It appears the report from the Iraq Study Group is going by the wayside. It is being reported that the administration plans increase troop levels instead of working on an exit strategy and bringing stability to the region. Recently it was being reported that a top advisor of Moqtada al-Sadr had been killed in attack by US troops. Previously written in this blog was the opinion there would probably be a push to go after Al-Sadr as he is a thorn in the side of Prime Minister al-Maliki government thus the increase in troops. But the administration is going to face an up hill battle when they present this plan. The democrats and some republicans appear to be circling the wagons. But if the reason for the decision to increase the troop size in Iraq is to go after al-Sadr and his followers then the democrats will probably go along with it for a limited time. We shall see. But they have already played a pre emptive move by sending a letter to Bush letting him know they are not supporting a surge in troops in Iraq.
Watch out for Iran in all of this. Remember al-Sadr and his followers are of the Shiite persuasion and so is the population that make up Iran. If they need support against this attack from the US they could surely ask Iran for help and it could escalate into an already simmering powder keg. And not to mention the report that circled this weekend concerning Israel’s planned attack. which speculation is the plan may have been leaked to prevent it from happening. But you cannot help but wonder if Israel was going to be to the US what Iran would be to al-Sadr. All in all it would be what the administration wants and that is to go after Iran for obvious reasons for obvious reasons.
Mentioning the letter to Bush from democratic leaders Pelosi and Reid, I listed to analyst on MSNBC be critical of the fact the letter was sent and it is not known what will be the result of Mr. Bush’s consultations and evaluations of the situation in Iraq. They seem to see it as they are over reacting without knowing what is going to be the final analysis. Well who is to say if the letter from the democratic leaders may influence his decision if indeed his decision will be on the vein of troop withdrawal?
07 January 2007
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